Airbus UK vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Hollingsworth Group Stadium, Broughton, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes GAP Connah S Quay FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Airbus UK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Airbus UK vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Airbus UK (1,889) and GAP Connah S Quay FC (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airbus UK have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; GAP Connah S Quay FC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ballkani(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Airbus UK win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 GAP Connah S Quay FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 5-0 Airbus UK | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Airbus UK 1-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2022 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 1-0 Airbus UK | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2021 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 6-3 Airbus UK | League Cup |
| Dec 30, 2019 | Airbus UK 0-4 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 2-1 Airbus UK | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK on Feb 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Airbus UK score 2.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; GAP Connah S Quay FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airbus UK | 2.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Airbus UK sit 11th in Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Airbus UK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Airbus UK vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
- The Footlab model makes GAP Connah S Quay FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Airbus UK.
- Where and when is Airbus UK vs GAP Connah S Quay FC played?
- Airbus UK vs GAP Connah S Quay FC is played on January 1, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Hollingsworth Group Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.