The New Saints vs Holywell: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 22Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Holywell. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,620 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win The New Saints vs Holywell?
The New Saints is a heavy favourite: 2,146 Elo points against 1,663, a 484-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for The New Saints vs Holywell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
The New Saints
4-3-3- 9Bradley Jamie Ethan Young
- 17J. Williams
- 37Isaac Jefferies
- 20R. Hughes
- 14D. Williams
- 34J. Lock
- 6J. Bodenham
- 16D. Simeu
- 22D. Davies
- 12Harvey George Godsmark-Ford
- 1N. Shepperd
Holywell
4-3-3- 27M. Yonsian
- 19J. Sconce
- 18Caio Hughes
- 34R. Edwards
- 16D. McGiveron
- 8T. Dogan
- 12Jack Tierney
- 6D. Sullivan
- 3M. Davies
- 2Casey Bedford
- 1A. Swindell
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 14 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Holywell have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 9-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llay Miners Welfare(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 The New Saints win, 0 draws, 0 Holywell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Holywell 1-6 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Holywell vs The New Saints on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 3.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 1.2 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 3.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Holywell | 1.2 | 3.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The New Saints sit 1st in Premier League (44 points from 16 matches) and Holywell sit 16th (2 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 44 |
| 16 | Holywell | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 52 | 2 |
A question about The New Saints vs Holywell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for The New Saints vs Holywell?
- The Footlab AI model makes The New Saints the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Holywell.
- Where and when is The New Saints vs Holywell played?
- The New Saints vs Holywell is played on January 1, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Hall Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.