Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
The Footlab model makes Trefelin the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Ammanford AFC (1,665) and Trefelin (1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammanford AFC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Trefelin have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ammanford AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Trefelin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Ammanford AFC 0-4 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Trefelin 2-0 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Ammanford AFC 1-2 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Trefelin 0-1 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Trefelin 1-2 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Ammanford AFC 1-1 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ammanford AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Trefelin | 2.6 | 1.4 | 7 | 3/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ammanford AFC sit 12th in Premier League (1 points from 4 matches) and Trefelin sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 16 | Trefelin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin?
- The Footlab model makes Trefelin the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin played?
- Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin is played on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Ammanford Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.