Akhmat vs Rubin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Akhmat Arena, Groznyi
The Footlab AI model makes Akhmat the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Rubin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Akhmat wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akhmat vs Rubin?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Akhmat (1,900) and Rubin (1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Akhmat vs Rubin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 13M. Konaté
- 18Júlio Romão
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 20M. Samorodov
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Rubin
5-4-1- 43J. Siwe
- 22V. Hodža
- 71I. Samoshnikov
- 11N. Gripshi
- 14I. Saavedra
- 13J. Urozov
- 51I. Rozhkov
- 12A. Arroyo
- 5I. Vujačić
- 98N. Lobov
- 38E. Staver
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akhmat have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Rubin have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Akhmat wins, 2 draws, 2 Rubin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rubin 1-1 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Rubin 1-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Rubin 3-3 Akhmat | Cup |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Akhmat 2-0 Rubin | Cup |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Akhmat 0-2 Rubin | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Akhmat 2-1 Rubin | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Akhmat score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rubin score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Rubin | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akhmat sit 11th in Premier League (11 points from 10 matches) and Rubin sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Akhmat vs Rubin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Rubin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Akhmat the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Rubin.
- Where and when is Akhmat vs Rubin played?
- Akhmat vs Rubin is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Akhmat Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.