Match

Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lukoil Arena, Moskva

Spartak MoscowAkhmat

The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?

Spartak Moscow starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (2,103 vs 1,872).

62%23%15%
Spartak Moscow winDrawAkhmat win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Spartak Moscow

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. Ugalde
  1. 18N. Umyarov
  2. 7P. Solari
  3. 5E. Barco
  4. 83Gedson Fernandes
  5. 25D. Prutsev
  1. 47R. Zobnin
  2. 6S. Babić
  3. 3C. Wooh
  4. 33Víctor Parada
  1. 98A. Maksimenko

Akhmat

4-2-3-1
  1. 77G. Melkadze
  1. 11Ismael Silva Lima
  2. 17Egas Cacintura
  3. 4T. Ibishev
  4. 20M. Samorodov
  5. 10K. Shchetinin
  1. 5K. Cake
  2. 6K. Sidibé
  3. 95A. Adamov
  4. 81M. Sidorov
  1. 1V. Ulyanov

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Moscow have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Akhmat have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spartak Moscow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Akron(home)2-1Premier League
Nov 1, 2026Lokomotiv(away)4-0Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Rubin(home)1-0Cup
Oct 25, 2026CSKA Moscow(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Rubin(home)4-0Premier League
Akhmat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Rodina Moskva(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Dynamo(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Fakel(away)0-0Cup
Oct 23, 2026FC Orenburg(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Zenit(away)2-3Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartak Moscow wins, 2 draws, 1 Akhmat win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026Akhmat 1-2 Spartak MoscowPremier League
Apr 19, 2026Spartak Moscow 3-1 AkhmatPremier League
Nov 9, 2025Akhmat 1-2 Spartak MoscowPremier League
Mar 30, 2025Akhmat 0-0 Spartak MoscowPremier League
Aug 11, 2024Spartak Moscow 0-0 AkhmatPremier League
Dec 3, 2023Akhmat 2-1 Spartak MoscowPremier League

Last archived meeting: Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spartak Moscow score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Akhmat score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spartak Moscow2.00.868/158/15
Akhmat1.11.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spartak Moscow sit 3rd in Premier League (29 points from 14 matches) and Akhmat sit 12th (14 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Spartak Moscow14923271129
12Akhmat14356161914

A question about Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?
The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Akhmat.
Where and when is Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat played?
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lukoil Arena, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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