Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)RZD Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lokomotiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Moscow wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
CSKA Moscow starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,917).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 77A. Mostovoy
- 6S. Babkin
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 9S. Pinyaev
- 45A. Siljanov
- 85E. Morozov
- 47D. Godyaev
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 1A. Mitryushkin
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2- 32L. Gondou
- 7Matheus Alves
- 10I. Oblyakov
- 31M. Kislyak
- 19I. Oleynikov
- 3D. Krugovoy
- 21M. Azzi
- 90M. Lukin
- 4João Victor
- 23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
- 39M. Borisko
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv win, 1 draw, 4 CSKA Moscow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 Lokomotiv | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-1 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv on Oct 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv sit 15th in Premier League (11 points from 14 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 5th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
A question about Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lokomotiv.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow played?
- Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at RZD Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.