Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)RZD Arena, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Lokomotiv (1,972) and CSKA Moscow (2,014).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotiv win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CSKA Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-1 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Lokomotiv 3-0 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv sit 14th in Premier League (3 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Moscow.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow played?
- Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at RZD Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.