Rodina Moskva vs Dynamo: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Khimki, Khimki
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Rodina Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dynamo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Dynamo?
Dynamo starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (2,098 vs 1,861).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rodina Moskva vs Dynamo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rodina Moskva
5-4-1- 7G. Onugkha
- 10Y. Reyna
- 17S. Bakaev
- 11B. Mansilla
- 9A. Maksimenko
- 6R. Fishchenko
- 26A. Meshchaninov
- 75M. Nadé
- 20D. Machado
- 80S. Bessmertny
- 13S. Volkov
Dynamo
4-3-3- 11Arthur Gomes
- 91Y. Gladyshev
- 70K. Tyukavin
- 10Bitello
- 15D. Glebov
- 74D. Fomin
- 8Rubens
- 57David Ricardo
- 4J. Cáceres
- 55M. Osipenko
- 99A. Lunev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Dynamo have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FK Partizan(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rodina Moskva wins, 0 draws, 2 Dynamo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dynamo 3-2 Rodina Moskva | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dynamo 3-1 Rodina Moskva | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Dynamo | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva sit 15th in Premier League (5 points from 10 matches) and Dynamo sit 1st (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
A question about Rodina Moskva vs Dynamo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva vs Dynamo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Rodina Moskva.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva vs Dynamo played?
- Rodina Moskva vs Dynamo is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Khimki, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.