Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al Ahli Doha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Duhail SC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC?
Al-Duhail SC starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahli Doha
4-1-4-1- 10Erik Expósito
- 7J. Draxler
- 27B. Bourigeaud
- 33D. Fettouhi
- 6Luiz Ceará
- 23N. Sliti
- 41Ahmed Reyed
- 88A. Amraoui
- 16R. Tihi
- 12Ghanem Al Minhali
- 13Mohamed Lingliz
Al-Duhail SC
4-4-2- 9K. Piątek
- 6M. Verratti
- 19Almoez Ali
- 24B. Soumaré
- 23Assim Madibo
- 7S. Yansané
- 21J. Castelletto
- 5Bassam Al Rawi
- 18Sultan Al Braik
- 22I. Bamba
- 1Salah Zakaria
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahli Doha have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Duhail SC have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(home) | 5-0 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(away) | 2-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Ahli Doha wins, 1 draw, 3 Al-Duhail SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha 2-1 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Al-Duhail SC 2-3 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 0-0 Al-Duhail SC | QSL Cup |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Al-Duhail SC 4-2 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Al Ahli Doha 0-1 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Al Ahli Doha 0-2 Al-Duhail SC | QSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahli Doha score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Duhail SC score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Al-Duhail SC | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahli Doha sit 7th in Stars League (12 points from 9 matches) and Al-Duhail SC sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Duhail SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Doha | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al Ahli Doha.
- Where and when is Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC played?
- Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC is played on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.