Al Shamal vs Al-Rayyan SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor
The Footlab model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Al Shamal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shamal vs Al-Rayyan SC?
Al-Rayyan SC starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shamal have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Rayyan SC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 4-6 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 1-0 | Stars League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 0-3 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Shamal win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Al-Rayyan SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC 0-1 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Al Shamal 1-2 Al-Rayyan SC | QSL Cup |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Al Shamal 4-2 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Al Shamal 3-5 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Al-Rayyan SC 1-2 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Al Shamal 1-2 Al-Rayyan SC | QFA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Shamal on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shamal score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Rayyan SC score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shamal | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 2.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shamal sit 8th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al-Rayyan SC sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shamal vs Al-Rayyan SC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Al Shamal.
- Where and when is Al Shamal vs Al-Rayyan SC played?
- Al Shamal vs Al-Rayyan SC is played on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Khwar Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.