Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal: result 2-4 and analysis
Emir CupRound of 16Kick-off on February 15, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
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What was the result of Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal?
UMM Salal won 2-4 on February 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′Erik ExpósitoAl Ahli Doha
- 42′Cristo GonzálezUMM Salal
- 49′S. YansanéAl Ahli Doha
- 52′Cristo GonzálezUMM Salal
- 55′Ahmed El SayedUMM Salal
- 68′Cristo GonzálezUMM Salal (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahli Doha have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; UMM Salal have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sepahan FC(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 1-1 | UAE-Qatar - Super Cup |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(away) | 1-2 | QSL Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(home) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 2-4 | Stars League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(home) | 3-0 | QSL Cup |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-3 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Ahli Doha win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 UMM Salal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 0-3 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 0-1 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | UMM Salal 0-3 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Al Ahli Doha 1-2 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Jan 2, 2024 | UMM Salal 2-0 Al Ahli Doha | QSL Cup |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Al Ahli Doha 1-1 UMM Salal | QSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahli Doha score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.9 and concede 2.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| UMM Salal | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy