Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Markhiya: prediction and stats
QSL CupGroup stage · Matchday 3Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Al-Markhiya. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Markhiya?
Al-Duhail SC starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Markhiya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Duhail SC
4-4-2- 9K. Piątek
- 6M. Verratti
- 19Almoez Ali
- 7S. Yansané
- 24B. Soumaré
- 23Assim Madibo
- 21J. Castelletto
- 5Bassam Al Rawi
- 18Sultan Al Braik
- 22I. Bamba
- 1Salah Zakaria
Al-Markhiya
4-3-3- 9Lucão
- 22Rúben Lameiras
- 77H. Sanhaji
- 8S. Cola
- 7A. Aboutrika
- 11Rodrigo Tabata
- 23N. Sarr
- 16E. El Sadeq
- 3N. Rahman
- 6M. Abdullah
- 33R. Kwasigroch
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Duhail SC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Markhiya have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(away) | 2-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Qatar U23(away) | 2-2 | Second Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Duhail SC wins, 2 draws, 1 Al-Markhiya win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Al-Markhiya 0-0 Al-Duhail SC | QSL Cup |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Al-Duhail SC 0-0 Al-Markhiya | Stars League |
| Nov 13, 2023 | Al-Duhail SC 1-0 Al-Markhiya | QSL Cup |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Al-Markhiya 1-2 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Al-Markhiya 3-1 Al-Duhail SC | QFA Cup |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Al-Duhail SC 3-1 Al-Markhiya | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Markhiya vs Al-Duhail SC on Dec 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Duhail SC score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Markhiya score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Duhail SC | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Markhiya | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Markhiya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Markhiya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Al-Markhiya.
- Where and when is Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Markhiya played?
- Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Markhiya is played on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium, in the QSL Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.