Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab: prediction and stats
QSL CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahli Doha the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Al Waab. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab?
Al Ahli Doha starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,540).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahli Doha
4-1-4-1- 10Erik Expósito
- 7J. Draxler
- 27B. Bourigeaud
- 33D. Fettouhi
- 23N. Sliti
- 77Ismaeel Mohammad
- 41Ahmed Reyed
- 88A. Amraoui
- 16R. Tihi
- 12Ghanem Al Minhali
- 13Mohamed Lingliz
Al Waab
4-3-3- 77Ousseynou Cesar Gueye
- 20Baha' Faisal
- 9A. Fowadah
- 8Diogo Abreu
- 5Anas Elfadil Ahmed
- 2A. Sher Khan
- 26A. Bakayoko
- 74A. Ragab
- 55E. Endurance
- 15A. Issa
- 90F. Plaia
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahli Doha have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Waab have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(home) | 5-0 | Stars League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(away) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(away) | 0-2 | Second Division |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | UMM Salal(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Al Ahli Doha wins, 0 draws, 1 Al Waab win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 0-1 Al Waab | QSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahli Doha score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Waab score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Waab | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahli Doha the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Al Waab.
- Where and when is Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab played?
- Al Ahli Doha vs Al Waab is played on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, in the QSL Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.