UMM Salal vs Al Shamal: prediction and stats
QSL CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for UMM Salal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Shamal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UMM Salal vs Al Shamal?
On Elo ratings, UMM Salal has 1,669 points and Al Shamal 1,730.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UMM Salal vs Al Shamal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UMM Salal
4-2-3-1- 17J. Kouassi
- 14O. Tannane
- 10M. Baidoo
- 8Salem Al Hajri
- 6J. Aholou
- 32Ahmed El Sayed
- 22E. Udosen
- 2A. Fayez
- 19N. Laidouni
- 15A. Tahif
- 48I. R. Hamadeh
Al Shamal
4-2-3-1- 11B. Bounedjah
- 5M. Ben Romdhane
- 70Tiago Silva
- 28N. Benaïssa
- 26R. Mahrez
- 22W. Saïd
- 4Pablo Marí
- 23Michel Termanini
- 20Y. Sabaly
- 37Ahmed Suhail
- 95B. Seck
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UMM Salal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shamal have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 2-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-4 | Stars League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-0 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UMM Salal win, 1 draw, 4 Al Shamal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Shamal 3-2 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | UMM Salal 0-5 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Al Shamal 1-3 UMM Salal | QSL Cup |
| May 13, 2025 | UMM Salal 1-1 Al Shamal | Emir Cup |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Al Shamal 4-0 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | UMM Salal 1-2 Al Shamal | QSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Shamal vs UMM Salal on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UMM Salal score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shamal score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMM Salal | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Shamal | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about UMM Salal vs Al Shamal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UMM Salal vs Al Shamal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for UMM Salal.
- Where and when is UMM Salal vs Al Shamal played?
- UMM Salal vs Al Shamal is played on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), in the QSL Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.