Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Arabi SC: prediction and stats
QSL CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Seliah Stadium, Ar-Rayyan
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Al Mesaimeer. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Arabi SC?
Al-Arabi SC starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,523).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Arabi SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Mesaimeer
4-3-3- 9Jassim Al Jalabi
- 10I. Thiam
- 77G. Gama
- 8M. Adjaoudi
- 6M. Djenidi
- 19M. Abbasi
- 15Youssef Hassan
- 5I. Donkor
- 94Ali Malolah
- 26H. Sayed
- 31A. Aziz
Al-Arabi SC
4-4-2- 7Pablo Sarabia
- 14M. Olunga
- 8Ahmed Fathi
- 17J. Veretout
- 80I. Lihadji
- 6O. Tannane
- 22K. Bauobida
- 5Simo
- 25A. Pérez
- 2Marwan Hassan
- 31Jasem Al Hail
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Mesaimeer have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Al-Arabi SC have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 1-2 | Second Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(home) | 5-0 | Second Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 2-4 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 6-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 3-2 | Stars League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-2 | QSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Al Mesaimeer wins, 1 draw, 2 Al-Arabi SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | Al-Arabi SC 6-1 Al Mesaimeer | QFA Cup |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Al Mesaimeer 0-0 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Dec 9, 2015 | Al-Arabi SC 4-1 Al Mesaimeer | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Arabi SC vs Al Mesaimeer on Apr 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Al Mesaimeer score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Arabi SC score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Mesaimeer | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Arabi SC | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Arabi SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Arabi SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Al Mesaimeer.
- Where and when is Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Arabi SC played?
- Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Arabi SC is played on December 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Seliah Stadium, in the QSL Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.