Al-Gharafa B vs Muaither SC: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Muaither SC the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Al-Gharafa B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa B vs Muaither SC?
Muaither SC starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,632 vs 1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa B have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Muaither SC have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Mar 8, 2017 | Umm Salal B(home) | 10-1 | Second Division |
| Mar 5, 2017 | El Jaish SC B(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Al Shahaniya II(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Jul 28, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 4-3 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al-Gharafa B win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Muaither SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | Muaither SC 3-0 Al-Gharafa B | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2015 | Al-Gharafa B 2-2 Muaither SC | Second Division |
Last archived meeting: Muaither SC vs Al-Gharafa B on Feb 15, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa B score 2.3 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muaither SC score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa B | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Muaither SC | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Gharafa B sit 4th in Second Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Muaither SC sit 5th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Gharafa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Muaither SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa B vs Muaither SC?
- The Footlab model makes Muaither SC the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Al-Gharafa B.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa B vs Muaither SC played?
- Al-Gharafa B vs Muaither SC is played on September 7, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.