Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Gharafa the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Al-Sailiya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Gharafa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa?
Al-Gharafa starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,671 vs 1,532).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Sailiya
4-2-3-1- 13Joselu
- 9Ali Olwan
- 5Abdulrahman Mohamed
- 20Y. Belhanda
- 25R. Danzabe
- 8Ahmed Doozandeh
- 15M. Nani
- 2Abdulla Mahmoud Mahmoud
- 55K. van der Kaap
- 99Salem Al-Sufiani
- 50Youssef Sayed
Al-Gharafa
4-2-3-1- 7F. Coman
- 29F. Díaz
- 96A. Ounas
- 8Y. Brahimi
- 10I. Bennacer
- 13F. Sassi
- 18Ayoub Al Oui
- 23Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
- 4S. Sano
- 6Dame Traoré
- 1Khalifa Ababacar
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Sailiya have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Al-Gharafa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 1-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 1-6 | Stars League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(away) | 0-5 | Stars League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-5 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Sailiya wins, 0 draws, 3 Al-Gharafa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Al-Sailiya 1-0 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 0-3 Al-Sailiya | QSL Cup |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 2-0 Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Al-Sailiya 3-1 Al-Gharafa | QFA Cup |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Al-Sailiya 1-2 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Aug 2, 2022 | Al-Gharafa 2-1 Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Sailiya score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Gharafa score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Sailiya | 1.1 | 2.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Gharafa | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Sailiya sit 12th in Stars League (1 point from 8 matches) and Al-Gharafa sit 8th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 1 |
A question about Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Gharafa the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Al-Sailiya.
- Where and when is Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa played?
- Al-Sailiya vs Al-Gharafa is played on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.