Lusail City vs Qatar SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Qatar SC the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lusail City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lusail City vs Qatar SC?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Lusail City (1,581) and Qatar SC (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusail City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Qatar SC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 1-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(home) | 1-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 1-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 1-4 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Lusail City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Qatar SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | Lusail City 1-0 Qatar SC | QFA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lusail City vs Qatar SC on Apr 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Lusail City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qatar SC score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusail City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Qatar SC | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lusail City sit 10th in Stars League (0 points from 1 matches) and Qatar SC sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Qatar SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lusail City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lusail City vs Qatar SC?
- The Footlab model makes Qatar SC the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lusail City.
- Where and when is Lusail City vs Qatar SC played?
- Lusail City vs Qatar SC is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.