Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), Doha
The Footlab model makes Al Ahli Doha the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Al-Arabi SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Al-Arabi SC (1,722) and Al Ahli Doha (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Arabi SC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Al Ahli Doha have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-4 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-4 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | UMM Salal(away) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Arabi SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Al Ahli Doha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha 1-1 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Al-Arabi SC 1-0 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Al-Arabi SC 4-2 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Al Ahli Doha 3-3 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Al-Arabi SC 1-0 Al Ahli Doha | QSL Cup |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Al Ahli Doha 1-1 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Arabi SC on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Arabi SC score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahli Doha score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Arabi SC | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Arabi SC sit 5th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahli Doha sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Arabi SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahli Doha the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Al-Arabi SC.
- Where and when is Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha played?
- Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.