Al Shamal vs Al-Sailiya: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor
The Footlab model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Al-Sailiya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shamal vs Al-Sailiya?
Al Shamal starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,714 vs 1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shamal have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Sailiya have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 4-6 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sharjah FC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Shamal win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Al-Sailiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Al Shamal 0-0 Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Al-Sailiya 1-2 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Al Shamal 0-5 Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Al-Sailiya 2-1 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Al Shamal 2-3 Al-Sailiya | QFA Cup |
| Jan 7, 2022 | Al-Sailiya 0-2 Al Shamal | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shamal vs Al-Sailiya on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shamal score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Sailiya score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shamal | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Sailiya | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shamal sit 8th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al-Sailiya sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shamal vs Al-Sailiya?
- The Footlab model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Al-Sailiya.
- Where and when is Al Shamal vs Al-Sailiya played?
- Al Shamal vs Al-Sailiya is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Khwar Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.