Al Ittihad vs Paro: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ri'ayet al-Shabab Stadium, Aleppo
The Footlab AI model makes Paro the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Al Ittihad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paro wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs Paro?
Paro starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,714).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ittihad vs Paro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ittihad
Not enough data to predict the Al Ittihad lineup.
Paro
4-3-3- 66Nima Wangdi
- 25E. Asante
- 99T. Okereke Chimerie
- 40Yuta Suzuki
- 97R. Sagna
- 21M. Lama
- 4Goncalves Taygor
- 47K. Nurain
- 6Nima Tshering
- 11Kinley Wangchuk
- 1Gyeltshen Zangpo
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ittihad have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Paro have 15, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Horriya(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bangladesh Police(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Jaish(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Jabala(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Hottin(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Thimphu City(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bhutan U19(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Transport United(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ugyen Academy(away) | 10-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | RTC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ittihad score 2.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Paro score 4.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 2.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Paro | 4.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al Ittihad vs Paro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ittihad vs Paro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paro the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Al Ittihad.
- Where and when is Al Ittihad vs Paro played?
- Al Ittihad vs Paro is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ri'ayet al-Shabab Stadium, in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.