Goa vs Regar-TadAZ: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC)Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Margao
The Footlab AI model makes Goa the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Regar-TadAZ. The most likely score is 1-1. If Goa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
On Elo ratings, Goa has 1,560 points and Regar-TadAZ 1,497.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Goa vs Regar-TadAZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Goa
4-4-2- 28F. Feuillassier
- 9Chiki
- 21U. Singh
- 5Álex Vallejo
- 44Muhammed Nemil Valiyattil
- 22P. Vishwas
- 3S. Jhingan
- 15Álex Zalaya
- 48Konsam Singh
- 14A. Sangwan
- 45B. Jackson
Regar-TadAZ
4-3-3- 88S. Mabatshoev
- 9E. Frimpong
- 90A. Ergashev
- 6D. Atsam
- 66A. Temirov
- 47S. Mahamadiev
- 27D. Imomnazarov
- 44J. Feumba
- 4B. Qalandarov
- 5O. Kassim
- 16A. Z. Rahmatov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goa have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Regar-TadAZ have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dempo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 18, 2026 | Kerala Blasters(away) | 1-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 9, 2026 | ATK Mohun Bagan(home) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Khatlon(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Goa score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Regar-TadAZ score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goa | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Regar-TadAZ | 1.6 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Goa the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Regar-TadAZ.
- Where and when is Goa vs Regar-TadAZ played?
- Goa vs Regar-TadAZ is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC) at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.