Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Al Kahrabaa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Al Kahrabaa (1,464) and Naft Maysan (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Kahrabaa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Naft Maysan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 15, 2026 | Baghdad(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Al Najaf(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Kahrabaa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Naft Maysan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa 1-3 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Naft Maysan 0-2 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Naft Maysan 2-0 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Al Kahrabaa 1-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Naft Maysan 0-0 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Al Kahrabaa 1-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Kahrabaa score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Maysan score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kahrabaa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Naft Maysan | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Kahrabaa sit 19th in Iraqi League (1 points from 2 matches) and Naft Maysan sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Naft Maysan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan?
- The Footlab model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Al Kahrabaa.
- Where and when is Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan played?
- Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan is played on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Zawraa Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.