Al-Karma vs Al Zawra'a: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueMatchday 36Kick-off on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Ramadi Stadium, Ar Ramādī (Ramadi)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Al Zawra'a. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Al Zawra'a?
On Elo ratings, Al-Karma has 1,750 points and Al Zawra'a 1,680.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Karma vs Al Zawra'a
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Al Zawra'a
4-3-3- 99H. Abdulkareem
- 11M. Cabrera
- 72Mohamed Sherif
- 15I. Soro
- 77Ameer Sabah
- 4Loay Al Ani
- 53Ali Adnan
- 44M. Chobanov
- 25Sajjad Mahdi
- 3Masies Artien
- 1Ahmed Basil
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Karma have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Al Zawra'a have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 4-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 0-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Al-Karma wins, 3 draws, 1 Al Zawra'a win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Zawra'a 0-0 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Al-Karma 0-0 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Al Zawra'a 2-0 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Al-Karma 0-0 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Zawra'a vs Al-Karma on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Karma score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Karma sit 1st in Iraqi League (30 points from 13 matches) and Al Zawra'a sit 6th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
A question about Al-Karma vs Al Zawra'a?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Karma vs Al Zawra'a?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Al Zawra'a.
- Where and when is Al-Karma vs Al Zawra'a played?
- Al-Karma vs Al Zawra'a is played on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ramadi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.