Karbala vs Naft Maysan: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Karbala Stadium, Karbala
The Footlab model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karbala vs Naft Maysan?
Naft Maysan starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,498 vs 1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karbala have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Naft Maysan have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Baghdad(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Al Hudod(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Naft(home) | 2-4 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-4 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karbala win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Naft Maysan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Karbala 1-3 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Naft Maysan 0-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| May 22, 2024 | Karbala 0-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Naft Maysan 3-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Karbala 1-1 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Naft Maysan 1-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Karbala vs Naft Maysan on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karbala score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Maysan score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karbala | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Naft Maysan | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karbala sit 14th in Iraqi League (2 points from 2 matches) and Naft Maysan sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Karbala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Naft Maysan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karbala vs Naft Maysan?
- The Footlab model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Karbala vs Naft Maysan played?
- Karbala vs Naft Maysan is played on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Karbala Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.