Karbala vs Naft Maysan: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Karbala Stadium, Karbala
The Footlab AI model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naft Maysan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karbala vs Naft Maysan?
Naft Maysan starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,489 vs 1,332).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karbala vs Naft Maysan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karbala
Not enough data to predict the Karbala lineup.
Naft Maysan
Not enough data to predict the Naft Maysan lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karbala have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Naft Maysan have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karbala wins, 4 draws, 2 Naft Maysan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Karbala 1-3 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Naft Maysan 0-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| May 22, 2024 | Karbala 0-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Naft Maysan 3-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Karbala 1-1 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Naft Maysan 1-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Karbala vs Naft Maysan on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karbala score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Maysan score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karbala | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Naft Maysan | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karbala sit 20th in Iraqi League (6 points from 10 matches) and Naft Maysan sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Karbala vs Naft Maysan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karbala vs Naft Maysan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Karbala vs Naft Maysan played?
- Karbala vs Naft Maysan is played on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Karbala Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.