Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, Basra
The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Al Kahrabaa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Minaa Basra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Al Minaa Basra (1,483) and Al Kahrabaa (1,455).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Al Kahrabaa
Not enough data to predict the Al Kahrabaa lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Al Kahrabaa have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Minaa Basra wins, 1 draw, 5 Al Kahrabaa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa 2-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 1-2 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 0-2 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| May 25, 2024 | Al Kahrabaa 2-2 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Kahrabaa vs Al Minaa Basra on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Kahrabaa score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Kahrabaa | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 12th in Iraqi League (12 points from 10 matches) and Al Kahrabaa sit 18th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Minaa Basra | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Al Kahrabaa.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa is played on May 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.