Al Najma vs A'Ali: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab AI model makes Al Najma the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for A'Ali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Najma wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Najma vs A'Ali?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Al Najma (1,489) and A'Ali (1,479).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Najma vs A'Ali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Najma
Not enough data to predict the Al Najma lineup.
A'Ali
Not enough data to predict the A'Ali lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Najma have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; A'Ali have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al-Hidd(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sitra(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | East Riffa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Malkiya(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Khalidiya(home) | 2-7 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sitra(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | East Riffa(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Malkiya(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khalidiya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Manama(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Al Najma win, 0 draws, 4 A'Ali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | A'Ali 2-0 Al Najma | King's Cup |
| Jan 28, 2026 | A'Ali 2-0 Al Najma | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Al Najma 0-3 A'Ali | Premier League |
| May 12, 2025 | Al Najma 1-2 A'Ali | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | A'Ali 1-3 Al Najma | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Najma score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; A'Ali score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| A'Ali | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Najma sit 7th in Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and A'Ali sit 10th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Najma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | A'Ali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Al Najma vs A'Ali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Najma vs A'Ali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Najma the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for A'Ali.
- Where and when is Al Najma vs A'Ali played?
- Al Najma vs A'Ali is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.