Sitra vs Al Riffa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa Sports City Stadium, al-Manāma (Manama)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Riffa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Sitra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Riffa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sitra vs Al Riffa?
Al Riffa starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,518).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sitra vs Al Riffa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sitra
4-3-3- 99Kennyd
- 70Bruno Bezerra
- 91K. Namnganda
- 7Abdulwasea Al Matari
- 33Maicon Douglas
- 6Judá
- 31V. Emmanuel
- 25O. Elias
- 19R. Abdulla
- 3C.Vázquez
- 32Y. Habib
Al Riffa
Not enough data to predict the Al Riffa lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sitra have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Al Riffa have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Najma(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Hidd(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | East Riffa(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Malkiya(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Malkiya(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malkiya(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Khalidiya(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manama(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sitra wins, 2 draws, 2 Al Riffa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Sitra 1-3 Al Riffa | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Al Riffa 3-0 Sitra | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Sitra 1-1 Al Riffa | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Al Riffa 1-2 Sitra | King's Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Al Riffa 1-3 Sitra | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Al Riffa 1-1 Sitra | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sitra score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Riffa score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sitra | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Riffa | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sitra sit 5th in Premier League (5 points from 3 matches) and Al Riffa sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Riffa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Sitra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
A question about Sitra vs Al Riffa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sitra vs Al Riffa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Riffa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Sitra.
- Where and when is Sitra vs Al Riffa played?
- Sitra vs Al Riffa is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Khalifa Sports City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.