East Riffa vs Muharraq: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Ahli Stadium, Manama
The Footlab AI model makes Muharraq the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for East Riffa. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Riffa vs Muharraq?
Muharraq starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,511).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for East Riffa vs Muharraq
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
East Riffa
4-3-3- 19Luiz Fernando
- 37Aguinaldo
- 13Ahmed Rashed Hasan
- 8Jasim Khelaif
- 14Ali Nasser
- 23Omar Duaij
- 5Abdulla Shallal
- 26Abbas Alkhayyat
- 22Mohamed Duaij
- 15Ali Khalil
- 21Hamad Al Doseri
Muharraq
4-2-3-1- 37Edimar Ribeiro da Costa
- 80Arthur Rezende
- 29Anderson Leite
- 15Hanan
- 96R. Kobiljar
- 8M. Al Hardan
- 13Bruno Santos
- 5Amine Benaddi
- 32A. Al Khalasi
- 27M. Al Banna
- 1V. Đekić
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Riffa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Muharraq have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | A'Ali(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sitra(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al-Hidd(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Manama(home) | 1-1 | King's Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gol Gohar(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Khalidiya(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Manama(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 East Riffa wins, 5 draws, 1 Muharraq win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2025 | Muharraq 1-1 East Riffa | Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | East Riffa 0-3 Muharraq | Premier League |
| May 8, 2024 | Muharraq 2-2 East Riffa | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2023 | East Riffa 2-2 Muharraq | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Muharraq 2-2 East Riffa | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2022 | East Riffa 1-1 Muharraq | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Muharraq vs East Riffa on May 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
East Riffa score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muharraq score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Riffa | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Muharraq | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Riffa sit 9th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Muharraq sit 6th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Muharraq | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | East Riffa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
A question about East Riffa vs Muharraq?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Riffa vs Muharraq?
- The Footlab AI model makes Muharraq the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for East Riffa.
- Where and when is East Riffa vs Muharraq played?
- East Riffa vs Muharraq is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Ahli Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.