Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Ahli Jeddah wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah is a heavy favourite: 2,038 Elo points against 1,727, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Riyadh
4-4-2- 10T. Okou
- 7Trézéguet
- 22V. Lekhal
- 6K. Keita
- 43B. Mensah
- 32Awad Dahal
- 26R. Abascal
- 5Hossam Majrashi
- 23Hussain Qasim
- 79F. Al Jayzani
- 82M. Borjan
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-3-3- 7Trincão
- 9Feras Al Brikan
- 20Matheus Gonçalves
- 6V. Atangana Edoa
- 19A. Bondarenko
- 30Ziyad Al Johani
- 3Ibañez
- 31Saad Yaslam
- 15Saeed Baattia
- 5Mohammed Bakor
- 1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-6 | Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 1-6 | Pro League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 4-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Riyadh win, 1 draw, 4 Al-Ahli Jeddah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Al Riyadh 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| May 26, 2025 | Al Riyadh 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.1 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 12th in Pro League (12 points from 11 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 12 |
A question about Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.