Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Khobar
The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Al Diriyah. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Qadisiyah FC starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (2,066 vs 1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Qadisiyah FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Al Diriyah have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 1-4 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 5th in Pro League (6 points from 3 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Al Diriyah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Al Diriyah.
- Where and when is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Diriyah is played on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.