Al Wakrah vs Al Sadd: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), Al-Wakra
The Footlab model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Al Wakrah. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Wakrah vs Al Sadd?
Al Sadd starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Wakrah have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Sadd have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Caen(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-4 | Emir Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 4-1 | Emir Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Wakrah win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Al Sadd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Al Wakrah 1-3 Al Sadd | Stars League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Al Sadd 2-2 Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Al Sadd 3-0 Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Al Wakrah 0-3 Al Sadd | Stars League |
| May 13, 2024 | Al Wakrah 0-1 Al Sadd | Emir Cup |
| May 1, 2024 | Al Sadd 2-2 Al Wakrah | Qatar Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Wakrah score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Sadd score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Wakrah | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Sadd | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Wakrah sit 7th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Sadd sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Wakrah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Wakrah vs Al Sadd?
- The Footlab model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Al Wakrah.
- Where and when is Al Wakrah vs Al Sadd played?
- Al Wakrah vs Al Sadd is played on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.