Al Shabab vs Al Nasar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Al Ahmadi Stadium, Al Ahmadi
The Footlab AI model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Nasar wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Nasar?
Al Nasar starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,502 vs 1,379).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Shabab vs Al Nasar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Shabab
Not enough data to predict the Al Shabab lineup.
Al Nasar
Not enough data to predict the Al Nasar lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Nasar have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Al Sulaibikhat(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 1-7 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Shabab win, 1 draw, 4 Al Nasar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Shabab 0-3 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Al Nasar 1-1 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Al Shabab 1-0 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Al Shabab 0-1 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Al Nasar 4-0 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Al Nasar 2-1 Al Shabab | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Shabab vs Al Nasar on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Nasar score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Nasar | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 4th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Al Nasar sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Shabab | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Nasar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Al Shabab vs Al Nasar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs Al Nasar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs Al Nasar played?
- Al Shabab vs Al Nasar is played on April 17, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Al Ahmadi Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.