Al Shabab vs Al Nasar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Al Ahmadi Stadium, Al Ahmadi
The Footlab model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Nasar?
Al Nasar starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,499 vs 1,358).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Al Nasar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Nasar(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Shabab win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al Nasar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Shabab 0-3 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Al Nasar 1-1 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Al Shabab 1-0 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Al Shabab 0-1 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Al Nasar 4-0 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Al Nasar 2-1 Al Shabab | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Shabab vs Al Nasar on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Nasar score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Nasar | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 8th in Premier League (18 points from 18 matches) and Al Nasar sit 8th (19 points from 19 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Nasar | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Shabab | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs Al Nasar?
- The Footlab model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs Al Nasar played?
- Al Shabab vs Al Nasar is played on April 17, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Al Ahmadi Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.