Al Talaba vs Mosul: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mosul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Talaba wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Talaba vs Mosul?
Al Talaba starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,592 vs 1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Talaba vs Mosul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Talaba
Not enough data to predict the Al Talaba lineup.
Mosul
Not enough data to predict the Mosul lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Talaba have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Mosul have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al Talaba wins, 2 draws, 0 Mosul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Mosul 2-2 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Al Talaba 0-0 Mosul | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Talaba score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mosul score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Talaba | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Mosul | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Talaba sit 15th in Iraqi League (8 points from 9 matches) and Mosul sit 17th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Al Talaba vs Mosul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Talaba vs Mosul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mosul.
- Where and when is Al Talaba vs Mosul played?
- Al Talaba vs Mosul is played on December 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.