Naft Maysan vs Karbala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Maysan International Stadium, Al Amarah
The Footlab model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Karbala?
Naft Maysan starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,498 vs 1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft Maysan have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Karbala have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Al Najaf(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Baghdad(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Al Hudod(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Naft(home) | 2-4 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Naft Maysan win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Karbala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Karbala 1-3 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Naft Maysan 0-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| May 22, 2024 | Karbala 0-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Naft Maysan 3-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Karbala 1-1 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Naft Maysan 1-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Karbala vs Naft Maysan on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Naft Maysan score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Maysan | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Karbala | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft Maysan sit 14th in Iraqi League (2 points from 2 matches) and Karbala sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Karbala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Naft Maysan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft Maysan vs Karbala?
- The Footlab model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Naft Maysan vs Karbala played?
- Naft Maysan vs Karbala is played on December 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Maysan International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.