Naft vs Al Zawra'a: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Al Zawra'a. The most likely score is 0-0. If Naft wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft vs Al Zawra'a?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Naft (1,596) and Al Zawra'a (1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft vs Al Zawra'a
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft
Not enough data to predict the Naft lineup.
Al Zawra'a
Not enough data to predict the Al Zawra'a lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 07:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Al Zawra'a have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Mosul(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 0-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Naft wins, 2 draws, 2 Al Zawra'a wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Al Zawra'a 0-1 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Naft 0-0 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Naft 2-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Al Zawra'a 3-1 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Naft 1-3 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Al Zawra'a 1-1 Naft | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Naft score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft | 1.2 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft sit 1st in Iraqi League (25 points from 12 matches) and Al Zawra'a sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naft | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 18 |
A question about Naft vs Al Zawra'a?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft vs Al Zawra'a?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Al Zawra'a.
- Where and when is Naft vs Al Zawra'a played?
- Naft vs Al Zawra'a is played on December 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.