Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GAIN Park Stadium, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Alanyaspor the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Alanyaspor (1,929) and Kocaelispor (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alanyaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kocaelispor have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Alanyaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kocaelispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Alanyaspor 5-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Kocaelispor 2-0 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Alanyaspor 1-0 Kocaelispor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alanyaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alanyaspor sit 5th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Kocaelispor sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
- The Footlab model makes Alanyaspor the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor played?
- Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GAIN Park Stadium, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.