Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Rizespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,929).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rizespor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Trabzonspor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rizespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Trabzonspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trabzonspor 1-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Rizespor 1-2 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Trabzonspor 2-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Trabzonspor 5-2 Rizespor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Rizespor 3-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Rizespor 1-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Trabzonspor vs Rizespor on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rizespor score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rizespor sit 12th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Trabzonspor sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
- The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Rizespor.
- Where and when is Rizespor vs Trabzonspor played?
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.