Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Fenerbahçe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Galatasaray wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Galatasaray (2,112) and Fenerbahçe (2,179).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1- 21D. Gül
- 8Gabriel Sara
- 11Y. Akgün
- 34L. Torreira
- 10L. Sané
- 27Rafael Leão
- 7R. Sallai
- 6D. Sánchez
- 42A. Bardakcı
- 4I. Jakobs
- 1U. Çakır
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 19V. Muriqi
- 11M. Greenwood
- 91N. Kanté
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 7K. Aktürkoğlu
- 17İ. Kahveci
- 3A. Brown
- 37M. Škriniar
- 15N. Aké
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 31Ederson
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fenerbahçe have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 3-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 8-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 10, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Galatasaray wins, 2 draws, 1 Fenerbahçe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Galatasaray 0-2 Fenerbahçe | Super Cup |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 1-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 1-2 Galatasaray | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Galatasaray 0-0 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fenerbahçe 1-3 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 2nd in Süper Lig (13 points from 6 matches) and Fenerbahçe sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Fenerbahçe.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe played?
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.