Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The Footlab model makes Erzurumspor FK the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Gaziantep FK (1,887) and Erzurumspor FK (1,951).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Erzurumspor FK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Gaziantep FK win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Erzurumspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | Gaziantep FK 2-3 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Jan 2, 2021 | Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| May 19, 2018 | Gaziantep FK 0-0 Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Erzurumspor FK 2-1 Gaziantep FK | 1. Lig |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Gaziantep FK 2-2 Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK on Apr 25, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Erzurumspor FK score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Erzurumspor FK | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gaziantep FK sit 6th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Erzurumspor FK sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Erzurumspor FK the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK played?
- Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gaziantep Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.