Albacete II vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, Albacete
The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete II vs A Madrid III?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Albacete II (1,906) and A Madrid III (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Manchego(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 24, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete II | 1.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| A Madrid III | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete II vs A Madrid III?
- The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for A Madrid III.
- Where and when is Albacete II vs A Madrid III played?
- Albacete II vs A Madrid III is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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