Match

Albacete II vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, Albacete

Albacete IIA Madrid III

The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albacete II vs A Madrid III?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Albacete II (1,906) and A Madrid III (1,844).

Albacete II win50 %
Draw26 %
A Madrid III win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Leioa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 13, 2026Leioa(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 6, 2026Manchego(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 30, 2026Manchego(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 24, 2026Toledo(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
A Madrid III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Móstoles(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026SS Reyes II(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Las Rozas(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Unión Adarve(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albacete II1.50.4102/154/15
A Madrid III2.11.4212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albacete II vs A Madrid III?
The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for A Madrid III.
Where and when is Albacete II vs A Madrid III played?
Albacete II vs A Madrid III is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Albacete II and A Madrid III

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