Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Tordesillas?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846) and Atlético Tordesillas (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Atlético Tordesillas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2019 | Atlético Tordesillas 1-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Tordesillas vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Oct 20, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Tordesillas | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Tordesillas?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Atlético Tordesillas.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Tordesillas played?
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.