Match

RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares

RSD AlcaláSS Reyes

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes?

SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,875).

RSD Alcalá win29 %
Draw29 %
SS Reyes win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SS Reyes have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026CD Coria(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
SS Reyes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026UD Logroñés(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Alcoyano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Alcoyano(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 RSD Alcalá win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SS Reyes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026RSD Alcalá 1-1 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 6, 2025SS Reyes 1-0 RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Jan 5, 2025RSD Alcalá 2-3 SS ReyesFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RSD Alcalá1.50.967/159/15
SS Reyes1.30.957/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RSD Alcalá sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (51 points from 34 matches) and SS Reyes sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SS Reyes342176512770
6RSD Alcalá3414911423951

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes?
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes played?
RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: RSD Alcalá and SS Reyes

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