Real Madrid III vs Conquense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Conquense starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid III vs Conquense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid III have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Conquense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Madrid III wins, 1 draw, 3 Conquense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III 0-1 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Conquense 1-0 Real Madrid III | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Conquense 1-1 Real Madrid III | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Real Madrid III 0-1 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid III vs Conquense on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid III score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid III | 0.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid III sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (4 points from 6 matches) and Conquense sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Conquense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 17 | Real Madrid III | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Conquense played?
- Real Madrid III vs Conquense is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026NumanciavsNavalcarnero
- Oct 24, 2026RSD AlcalávsSS Reyes
- Oct 24, 2026Gimnástica SegovianavsAtlético Tordesillas
- Oct 24, 2026Atlético PasovsReal Ávila
- Oct 25, 2026Getafe IIvsCalvo Sotelo
- Oct 25, 2026Albacete IIvsA Madrid III
- Oct 25, 2026GuadalajaravsReal Valladolid II
- Oct 25, 2026CF TalaveravsSalamanca UDS