Albacete vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
The Footlab model makes Albacete the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Eibar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete vs Eibar?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Albacete (1,956) and Eibar (2,013).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Eibar have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Albacete win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Eibar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Albacete 0-3 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Eibar 3-2 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Eibar 1-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Albacete 0-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Albacete 2-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Eibar 1-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Eibar | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albacete sit 20th in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and Eibar sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 20 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete vs Eibar?
- The Footlab model makes Albacete the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Eibar.
- Where and when is Albacete vs Eibar played?
- Albacete vs Eibar is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.