Almeria vs Burgos: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
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What was the result of Almeria vs Burgos?
Almeria won 2-1 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 40′Jon KarrikaburuBurgos
- 77′B. CipengaAlmeria
- 84′Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Almeria win at 60%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Almeria vs Burgos
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 9Thalys
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 12Léo Baptistão
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 6Mikel Vesga
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 18F. Bonini
- 21Chumi
- 2Marcos Luna
- 1Andrés Fernández
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 20José Gragera
- 14David González
- 22Brais Martínez
- 18Saúl del Cerro
- 15Oier Luengo
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Burgos have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almeria wins, 1 draw, 2 Burgos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Burgos 0-0 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Almeria 1-2 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Burgos 3-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Almeria 2-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Burgos 0-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Almeria 2-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 2nd in Segunda División (25 points from 11 matches) and Burgos sit 6th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Burgos | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 20 |
A question about Almeria vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy