Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Galapagar played?

Alcobendas Sport vs Galapagar is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alcobendas Sport vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda

Alcobendas Sport

Galapagar

The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Galapagar?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,718) and Galapagar (1,727).

Alcobendas Sport win36 %

Draw27 %

Galapagar win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Galapagar have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcobendas Sport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Leganés II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026	AD Parla(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Galapagar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2026	Galapagar 1-3 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 22, 2025	Alcobendas Sport 2-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2025	Galapagar 3-1 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 30, 2024	Alcobendas Sport 1-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 21, 2024	Galapagar 1-2 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 3, 2023	Alcobendas Sport 3-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alcobendas Sport	1.2	1.4	3	9/15	7/15
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alcobendas Sport sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (45 points from 34 matches) and Galapagar sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46
11	Alcobendas Sport	34	12	10	13	45	49	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Galapagar?: The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Galapagar played?: Alcobendas Sport vs Galapagar is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.