Fuenlabrada vs Leganés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leganés II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Leganés II?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,790) and Leganés II (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fuenlabrada win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leganés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2022 | Leganés II 0-1 Fuenlabrada | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Fuenlabrada on Aug 4, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Leganés II?
- The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leganés II.
- Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Leganés II played?
- Fuenlabrada vs Leganés II is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027Alcobendas SportvsGalapagar
- Apr 4, 2027MóstolesvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Apr 4, 2027TorrejónvsCala Pozuelo
- Apr 4, 2027Unión AdarvevsRayo Vallecano II
- Apr 4, 2027Villanueva PardillovsLas Rozas
- Apr 4, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsRC Alcobendas
- Apr 4, 2027Parla EscuelavsReal Aranjuez
- Apr 4, 2027SS Reyes IIvsTrival Valderas