Match

Galapagar vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

GalapagarFuenlabrada

The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Fuenlabrada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Galapagar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Fuenlabrada?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,752) and Fuenlabrada (1,790).

37%27%36%
Galapagar winDrawFuenlabrada win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Galapagar vs Fuenlabrada

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Galapagar

Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.

Fuenlabrada

4-3-3
  1. AA. Damar
  2. MManu Garrido
  3. CC. Omoigui
  1. AAntonio Moyano
  2. FFer Ruiz
  3. SSergio Aguza
  1. ÁÁlvaro García
  2. BB. Ouacharaf
  3. 14Álvaro Barbosa
  4. DDavid Alba
  1. LLucas Díaz

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Móstoles(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Leganés II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Parla Escuela(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Unión Adarve(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Torrejón(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Galapagar1.81.7111/1510/15
Fuenlabrada1.11.348/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 7 matches) and Fuenlabrada sit 11th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Galapagar7322131311
11Fuenlabrada7232999

A question about Galapagar vs Fuenlabrada?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Fuenlabrada?
The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Fuenlabrada.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Fuenlabrada played?
Galapagar vs Fuenlabrada is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Galapagar and Fuenlabrada

Ready to know everything about football?