Where and when is Móstoles vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?

Móstoles vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Móstoles vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

Móstoles

Pozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,758) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).

Móstoles win41 %

Draw26 %

Pozuelo Alarcón win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo Alarcón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Marchamalo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Tres Cantos(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Carabanchel(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Móstoles(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Móstoles win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón 2-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 21, 2025	Móstoles 1-1 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 10, 2024	Móstoles 4-0 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 22, 2023	Pozuelo Alarcón 2-3 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 5, 2023	Móstoles 2-0 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 30, 2022	Pozuelo Alarcón 1-1 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Móstoles on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15
Pozuelo Alarcón	1.1	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Móstoles sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (51 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51
9	Pozuelo Alarcón	34	12	12	10	40	33	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Pozuelo Alarcón?: The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Móstoles vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?: Móstoles vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.