Unión Adarve vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Adarve wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Unión Adarve starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Adarve vs Rayo Vallecano II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Adarve
Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.
Rayo Vallecano II
4-3-3- EE. Eto'o Pineda
- SSergio Alonso
- PPablo Prieto
- 19Aitor González
- JJuanchi
- JJuan Ybarra
- DDiego Robles
- ÁÁlvaro Baladía
- VVíctor Revuelto
- 26Marco de las Sías
- 30Juanpe
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Unión Adarve win, 0 draws, 2 Rayo Vallecano II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | Rayo Vallecano II 1-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Unión Adarve 3-0 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Rayo Vallecano II 2-1 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve on Mar 7, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Adarve score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Adarve | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Adarve sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (12 points from 7 matches) and Rayo Vallecano II sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Unión Adarve | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Unión Adarve vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Rayo Vallecano II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Rayo Vallecano II.
- Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
- Unión Adarve vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027FuenlabradavsLeganés II
- Apr 4, 2027Alcobendas SportvsGalapagar
- Apr 4, 2027MóstolesvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Apr 4, 2027TorrejónvsCala Pozuelo
- Apr 4, 2027Villanueva PardillovsLas Rozas
- Apr 4, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsRC Alcobendas
- Apr 4, 2027Parla EscuelavsReal Aranjuez
- Apr 4, 2027SS Reyes IIvsTrival Valderas